General observations and ramblings on technology, social-media & other things... Feel free to browse through my posts and enjoy your stay on my blog ;-)
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Stockmarket on the Rise
Shown is the FTSE-100 index over the past 2 years, as I am sure you can gather from the chart without much of Technical Analysis experience, there is now an uptrend / recovery ongoing. Since about July 2009 the capitalisation of UKs top companies increased by about 30%... pretty strong growth if you'd ask me! (actually this isn't growth as such, but the immediate prospect of financial failure probability rapidly having disappeared...)
See the 5 year chart here, to gain a fuller picture of where we are in terms of historical price behaviour.
Conclusion: Speaking from a Technical Analysis perspective, we can expect a rebound and further short term (1-3 month) growth in the market, i.e. 5300 to about 5600 points, thats about 6% growth in the immediate future with a potential to cash in on a good 10% growth in a more mid-term time frame!
Fundamentals aren't so interesting, but to be honest, compared to where we were a year ago (politically, economically,...), things are looking rather good! i.e. 1% economic growth, housing/morgage figures, (+)ve anticipation of general elections, ... on the other hand, the tax cuts are wearing off (VAT back to its old level), threatening taxes & regulation for investment/corporate banks...
...any comments, please feel free, I apologise for the moderation, but with all the spamming going on I am sure you understand. Thanks.
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